Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.693522 17.172188 19.875143 23.032961 26.611918 30.533046 35.144665
2025-02-16 10.113015 13.392521 17.351442 22.439558 28.758046 36.295930 45.913003
2025-02-23 7.538513 11.060966 15.676241 22.068324 30.578659 41.394276 56.032956
2025-03-02 5.916117 9.486311 14.502734 21.897069 32.317067 46.246293 65.994538
2025-03-09 4.762121 8.277170 13.535293 21.721999 33.837694 50.743314 75.659660
2025-03-16 3.620210 6.828126 11.936919 20.330250 33.352982 52.280478 81.211824
2025-03-23 3.165668 6.386488 11.783935 21.041136 35.949512 58.316165 93.476689
2025-03-30 2.848773 6.113224 11.842681 22.054859 39.051824 65.269320 107.497362
2025-04-06 2.352894 5.409571 11.055478 21.549567 39.645776 68.395884 115.907023
2025-04-13 1.873922 4.634391 10.012732 20.450506 39.109856 69.648856 121.424333
2025-04-20 1.737631 4.535805 10.204927 21.555788 42.376816 77.178671 137.252478
2025-04-27 1.650097 4.525140 10.559810 22.985210 46.304601 86.012640 155.644997
2025-05-04 1.425162 4.174209 10.220510 23.132907 48.094019 91.622431 169.505766
2025-05-11 1.208216 3.795995 9.774778 23.037014 49.466363 96.688074 182.918115
2025-05-18 1.013360 3.422164 9.272866 22.754468 50.443766 101.111620 195.492195
2025-05-25 0.858704 3.113116 8.861069 22.597517 51.628044 105.954491 209.044550
2025-06-01 0.727882 2.833802 8.467860 22.421305 52.738498 110.708691 222.679746
2025-06-08 0.560827 2.387642 7.574542 20.991691 51.133109 110.270513 226.923695
2025-06-15 0.510895 2.307762 7.611806 21.722464 54.104804 118.684092 247.770648
2025-06-22 0.477423 2.275615 7.772067 22.764220 57.823164 128.749164 272.173472
2025-06-29 0.395978 2.039888 7.321528 22.244997 58.075939 132.024154 283.978973
2025-07-06 0.311271 1.755452 6.668371 21.115459 56.842638 132.229654 289.912414
2025-07-13 0.295981 1.754565 6.873086 22.251391 60.885184 143.368570 317.515179